Market Snapshot

Desk notes 2026-10-06 13:30 SGT · Built Thu 08 Oct 2026, 09:48 SGT

Right now

Equities

Risk-on — NDX ATHs, SPX +0.66%

  • Brazil election (Bolsonaro 47% vs Lula 45%) driving EM re-rating
  • Taiwan testing 50K for first time
  • Nikkei back at 70K
  • HSI +80bps
Rates

US 10Y at 5.30% (new highs), 30Y near 5.70%

  • ISM Services 54.9, GDP tracking +4-5%
  • Fed patient — no urgency on further hikes
  • US L/S net leverage at 5Y lows (2nd percentile) → forced buyers if rally continues
FX

EUR at 17-month lows

  • French debt concerns, OAT-Bund spread +50bps
  • DXY +22bps
Commodities

Brent declined to $100 (−2%)

  • On Saudi Nov Asia pricing cut and improving Hormuz flows
  • Gold flat ~$4,141
  • Iron ore off 52-week lows, Brazil +13% on election
AI / Semis

NVDA ATHs, Hon Hai Sep sales beat

  • TSMC 3Q26 preview strong
  • MS TP NT$3,088, GS TP NT$3,300
  • Korea catching up post-holiday — Samsung buyback ending today, prelims Oct 8
  • SK Hynix buyback slowing
  • Mediatek −4% on Broadcom TPU staying
Deal flow

Schneider/PTC $22.6bn

  • CHRW/RXO $5.8bn, McKesson/CD&R near $5bn+ deal for infusion services

Key events next 5 days · SGT

  • Thu 08 Oct
  • —KRSamsung 3Q26 prelims (cons. OP ~KRW108.1tn, first >KRW100tn; revenue ~KRW200.8tn, FnGuide)
  • —TWTaiwan Sep trade (exports/imports)
  • —CNMainland markets and Stock Connect reopen after Golden Week
  • —JPFast Retailing FY results (big Nikkei weight)
  • —JPSeven & i results this week (date tbc)
  • —USPepsiCo results: Q3 earnings season kicks off
  • —USIntuit ex-dividend ($1.38)
  • —ECB account of September meeting
  • 13:30TWTSMC Sep monthly sales
  • 16:30USFOMC Member Waller Speaks
  • 20:30USUnemployment Claims (forecast 200K · previous 197K)
  • Fri 09 Oct
  • —TWTaiwan National Day — market closed
  • —KRKorea market closed: Hangul Day
  • —USAug factory orders
  • —USDelta Air Lines results
  • —USNetApp ex-dividend ($0.52)
  • 21:30USFed's Schmid speaks
  • 22:00USPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment (forecast 47.5 · previous 47.8)
  • 22:00USPrelim UoM Inflation Expectations (previous 4.6%)
  • Sat 10 Oct
  • —CNMainland exchanges closed (Saturday make-up working day)
  • Mon 12 Oct
  • —KR3-Year KTB auction
  • —JPTokyo market closed: Health-Sports Day
  • —USColumbus Day: NYSE open, US bond market closed
  • Tue 13 Oct
  • —CNSep trade data (date tbc, usually Oct 13–14)
  • 19:00USBank earnings: JPMorgan (~19:00 SGT), Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Citi; also BlackRock, J&J, UnitedHealth

Macro tape Thu 08 Oct 2026 09:45 SGT

Indices
Hang Seng24,091.57-0.16%
HSCEI8,093.14+0.13%
HS TECH4,203.07+0.20%
Nikkei 22569,384.55-0.93%
KOSPI6,766.71-0.55%
TAIEX49,280.04-1.06%
CSI 3004,354.93+0.22%
ASX 2008,673.60-0.62%
STI5,480.99-2.27%
Euro Stoxx 502026-10-086,180.29-1.47%
FTSE 1002026-10-0710,458.50-0.79%
DAX2026-10-0825,104.36-1.35%
S&P 5007,801.77-0.22%
Nasdaq 10031,160.08-0.21%
S&P 500 fut7,855.00+0.03%
Nasdaq fut31,439.00+0.12%
VIX15.08+0.47%
Commodities
Brent101.43+1.23%
WTI89.21+1.05%
Gold4,154.30+0.33%
Copper6.75+1.48%
Bitcoin83,205.73-0.08%
FX & rates
USD/JPY157.82-0.14%
USD/CNH6.70-0.03%
USD/KRW1,337.58-0.13%
USD/TWD31.85+0.02%
DXY102.24-0.00%
US 10Y yield5.28+0.15%